The Sharp Bifurcation In The Economy Continues

The big monthly news this week was August's LEI, which declined -0.1. This index is only up 0.1 for the last 5 months. The Conference Board, which compiles the index, believes this indicates continued but very slow growth. While building permits, starts, and existing home sales continued to show a recovering housing market from very low levels, the Empire State and Philly Indexes added to the evidence that manufacturing is actually contracting. The high frequency weekly indicators should show turns before they show up in monthly or quarterly data. These...

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Published By: Business News - Saturday, 22 September, 2012